International Series

Number 13

Adrian Lewers: A Region in Transition - A Political Risk Analysis of the Middle East and North Africa

28 February 2011: With mass political protests sweeping the Middle East and North Africa, predictions on their political and economic implications are changing almost as quickly as the events themselves. In this latest thinkpiece, Adrian Lewers of specialist insurer Beazley plc provides an analysis of developments from an insurance risk perspective.

International Series

Number 12

Mui Pong Goh: The View from Singapore - Cautious Optimism about Asian Economic Recovery

19 October 2010: Due to its unique vantage point at the heart of Southeast Asia, Singapore is well placed to provide an informed view of global economic developments and their implications for this influential part of the world. This paper discusses the tremendous growth surge underway this year, and reflects on the current wave of cautious optimism regarding the region’s economic future.

Number 11

Donald Hepburn: A Passage to India: Towards Robust Economic Growth?

International Series number 11

29 September 2010: With the Commonwealth Games fast approaching we thought it useful to unpick many of the underlying economic trends underpinning India’s developing economy. This thinkpiece, by Donald Hepburn of Chatham House, begins by identifying the reasons for India’s relative success during the financial crisis, before outlining the future prospects for growth and the infrastructural and political barriers to prosperity.

Number 10

Vanessa Rossi and William Jackson: Speedy Recovery or Lingering Crisis in the Gulf Economies?

International Series number 10

30 July 2010: Over a year after covering this region in an earlier thinkpiece, the author returns to examine how the Gulf economies have fared especially following the Dubai property crisis last autumn. Despite the setback, Chatham House's forecasts nevertheless show much promise for significant growth in insurance and financial services over the next 5 to 10 years.

Number 9

Eric Pan: The Future of International Financial Regulation

8 June 2010: the article summarises the challenges confronting attempts to strengthen the global financial regulatory archictecture. Prepared by a prominent regulatory law professor based in New York, the paper helps readers make sense of the various interlocking institutions such as the G20, IMF and European Union, and sets out the key issues and challenges facing them as they deal with the effects of the financial crisis.

International Series number 8

Rodrigo Delgado Aguilera: Successes, trials and tribulations in regional economic recoveries

22 April 2010: The developing world is seeing the same sort of multi-speed recovery as elsewhere. While the Asian economies have responded well following lessons learned from earlier crises, Latin America and the Middle East seem to have for the most part escaped the turmoil's major effects, but emerging Europe's recovery is still far from over.

Number 7

Vanessa Rossi: The End of Dollar Dominance? Signs of Change in the International Financial System

17 March 2010: emerging changes in the international financial arena could challenge the West’s dominance the monetary system. In this latest addition in our special series of thinkpieces on global themes, Vanessa Rossi of Chatham House explores these changes.

Number 6

Vanessa Rossi: Emerging Markets: Upwardly Mobile Economies and New Consumerism

23 September 2009: In this sixth in the series of thinkpieces by Chatham House, Vanessa Rossi looks at the prospects of the emerging markets and makes the point that the fast rising ownership of consumer durables and property as well as coming directly from demand for services such as bank accounts, credit and personal insurance.

Number 5

Vanessa Rossi and Nora Burghart: Outsourcing: Continued Prosperity Despite the Economic Crisis?

18 August 2009: Will outsourcing be a winner or loser from the global crisis? This sector has been a major beneficiary of the boom in business services trade since the mid-1990s, coinciding with the rise of emerging market economies. In 2001-2002, this growth survived and even boomed. But this time round it has been hit by the savage downturn in the global economy and the outlook for growth is less assured for a number of reasons, as discussed in this article.

Number 4

Vanessa Rossi & Nora Burghart: Deflation Threats & Insurance Premiums

29 May 2009: The property market has been hit hard by the current recession, and impacts of the decline have seen deflation reach new levels. Many assume that recovery is around the corner – but what will happen if prices continue to fall? Vanessa Rossi and Nora Burghart of Chatham House explain the serious implications of a prolonged recession, focusing on how insurance premiums, in particular, might cave in to ongoing market pressure.

Number 3

Vanessa Rossi and Nora Burghart: Ageing & Migration Preparing for Change

30 March 2009: Vanessa Rossi and Nora Burghart from Chatham House analyse the changing age and migration trends in the EU labour market. Might the impact of ageing be reversed by raising the retirement age to 70? How important will migration be in picking up the slack left by a declining indigenous population? How ready is the insurance industry in dealing with these changes?

Number 2

Vanessa Rossi and Ruth Davis: The Rising Influence of the Gulf in Financial Services

13 February 2009: Vanessa Rossi and Ruth Davis from Chatham House examine the positioning in the global economy of the Gulf states including the UAE, Qatar and Oman. When the region does recover from the current recession, financial services will be seen as a popular investment choice by governments. Are we seeing a top-ten world financial centre in the making?

Number 1

Vanessa Rossi: Which countries and sectors will lead the recession recovery?

7 January 2009: Vanessa Rossi, senior research fellow at the international relations think tank Chatham House, examines the global economic downturn, and predicts that Asia and the US will lead a recovery. She warns that the recession will lead to major shifts in global governance especially in favour of the emerging economies.


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